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Cake day: August 2nd, 2023

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  • China has more rare earth deposits than the US but that’s a bit misleading. Rare earths show up in trace amounts all over the world. China has them in higher concentrations.

    The bigger issue is that China has been the main refiner of rare earths for decades. That means they have all the infrastructure for actually making it available and they’ve developed a bunch of technologies and processes to do it way cheaper and more efficiently than anyone else can.

    I don’t know the pricing specifics of EV motors but I have some familiarity with electric motors, in general. The technology hasn’t really changed much in a long time. We’ve have 3 phase motors and hall effect sensors for ages. They’re better than older electric motors but the huge technology leap, that made EVs practical, was the batteries.







  • It’s a combination of issues. In no particular order;

    • precursor availability: All the stuff that EVs are made of, is made in China. If you want to build EVs it’s easier and cheaper to get all the parts in China than it is in the US
    • logistics: China has more modern roads, railroads, ports etc. That makes it much easier to get parts in and finished products out
    • government aid: China has prioritized EVs for a long time and has all kinds of policies to encourage EV production
    • EV infrastructure: China has more EV charging stations than the US and EU combined
    • limited ICE competition: China doesn’t have any big ICE vehicle companies. There are no significant groups in China advocating against EVs

    Labor costs don’t seem to be a factor at all. EVs are made in modern factories that are almost completely automated. The biggest part of “precursor availability” is likely batteries. The main innovation in EVs was the batteries. The electric motors, chassis, computers, etc are all secondary to batteries that can safely hold a lot of charge and discharge reliably. China dominates that market too.