Still not double trump, but both are working in their respective directions to make that happen.

Looking at deepstatemap, I see an unconfirmed thrust along the road in the south, that would endanger the southern part of the incursion, but not the sudzha area as it has the highway for logistics.

I was on the train when trump was first elected, and Europe proposed a European army. A European gent I met told me that would never happen, because trump was a one time thing. I asked what he’s say if trump got elected again, and he responded “that would never happen.”

Well, here we are.

Yeah we’ve pretty much cut back on intelligence here in every aspect…

So just war gaming, don’t mind me.

With russia so weak militarily now, watch for social unrest in karelia and oblasts bordering europe right now, giving neighboring nations no choice but to send troops into karelia and boarder towns for peacekeeping work.

Edit: I’d say a 50 km buffer zone… to help contain the unrest… should work.

So let’s game this out.

US soft power will decline, and regional powers and China will fill the vacuum. Europe can slow the US fall by actively welcoming China to bid on US port access, thus making everyone play nice a few more years, but we need to look for a soft line of Chinese power in the Philippines around 2050. Saudi Arabia can still collapse into a caliphate at some point, but Israel will remain a propped up power blocking Iran no matter what. If trump sold nuke secrets to SA that will be a really tense area, and Europe and Israel will have to keep them from any uranium from Iran or others.

China should definitely push space partnerships in the coming years with Europe and Russia, and while SpaceX will be hard to beat, they will face subsidized competition to keep them from being the only game in town, requiring you to drink a cup of US crazy with every launch. So space launch costs will go down (by SpaceX continuing and other countries subsidizing), ISS will deorbit, China will build a moon base, America will talk about how dumb that is because they didn’t do it.

China will become a co-leader of research with Europe, it will become common for US grad students to leave the country to go to good schools in their field.

Properganda